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1. Lig · Turkey
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadium, Istanbul
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
İstanbulspor host Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, İstanbulspor had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 24. Mardin 1969 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of İstanbulspor's last 10 and 5 of Mardin 1969's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home İstanbulspor averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Mardin 1969 averaged 1.22 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.71 goals from İstanbulspor and 1.83 from Mardin 1969. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 63%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between İstanbulspor (green) and Mardin 1969 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor | WLLLL | 0.70 | 2.40 | 40% | 60% |
| Mardin 1969 | WLWWL | 1.40 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 57% | 1.64 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Lig matches that day
- Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor · 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Sivasspor vs Boluspor · 1 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.20