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Primera Division · El Salvador
Isidro Metapán vs Atletico Balboa prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Isidro Metapán host Atletico Balboa in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Isidro Metapán Win — Isidro Metapán to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Isidro Metapán 3–2 Atletico Balboa.
Going into the match, Isidro Metapán had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Atletico Balboa had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Isidro Metapán's last 10 and 5 of Atletico Balboa's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Isidro Metapán averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Atletico Balboa averaged 1.29 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Isidro Metapán and 0.98 from Atletico Balboa. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 20%, against 58%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Isidro Metapán (green) and Atletico Balboa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isidro Metapán | WDWWL | 1.10 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% |
| Atletico Balboa | LDLWL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Aug 2026 · Atletico Balboa 0–0 Isidro Metapán
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| Isidro Metapán Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Isidro Metapán HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 1-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.