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Serie D - Girone H · Italy
Ischia vs Ebolitana prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ischia host Ebolitana in the Serie D - Girone H (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ischia 1–1 Ebolitana.
Going into the match, Ischia had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Ebolitana had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with 5 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ischia's last 10 and 3 of Ebolitana's last 5; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ischia averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Ebolitana averaged 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Ischia and 0.91 from Ebolitana. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 19%, against 38%, 25% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ischia (green) and Ebolitana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.43 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.06 |
| Ischia Win | 38% | 2.53 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.