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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Irtysh vs FC Astana prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Irtysh host FC Astana in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 14 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Irtysh 0–1 FC Astana.
Going into the match, Irtysh had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. FC Astana had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Irtysh's last 10 and 6 of FC Astana's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Irtysh averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Astana averaged 1.15 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from Irtysh and 1.63 from FC Astana. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 57%, against 27%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Irtysh (green) and FC Astana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · FC Astana 2–0 Irtysh
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| FC Astana Win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| FC Astana HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.