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Ligat Ha'al · Israel
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ironi Tiberias host Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Ligat Ha'al (Israel) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ironi Tiberias 0–2 Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Going into the match, Ironi Tiberias had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Hapoel Beer Sheva had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ironi Tiberias's last 10 and 5 of Hapoel Beer Sheva's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ironi Tiberias averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Hapoel Beer Sheva averaged 1.73 scored and 1.47 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Ironi Tiberias and 1.84 from Hapoel Beer Sheva. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 53%, against 14%, 21% and 66% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ironi Tiberias (green) and Hapoel Beer Sheva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | LDWLW | 1.20 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | WDWLD | 1.40 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva Win | 68% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.