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Liga Leumit · Israel
Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ironi Modi'in host Hapoel Afula in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 9 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ironi Modi'in 1–2 Hapoel Afula.
Going into the match, Ironi Modi'in had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Hapoel Afula had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ironi Modi'in's last 10 and 5 of Hapoel Afula's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ironi Modi'in averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Hapoel Afula averaged 1.50 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Ironi Modi'in and 1.56 from Hapoel Afula. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 36%, against 35%, 26% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ironi Modi'in (green) and Hapoel Afula (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Modi'in | WLLLD | 1.50 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
| Hapoel Afula | DWDLL | 2.10 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Apr 2026 · Hapoel Afula 0–0 Ironi Modi'in
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.