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Ligat Ha'al · Israel
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ironi Kiryat Shmona host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Ligat Ha'al (Israel) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Hapoel Tel Aviv Win — Hapoel Tel Aviv to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–3 Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Going into the match, Ironi Kiryat Shmona had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Hapoel Tel Aviv had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ironi Kiryat Shmona's last 10 and 3 of Hapoel Tel Aviv's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ironi Kiryat Shmona averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 1.00 scored and 1.35 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Ironi Kiryat Shmona and 1.51 from Hapoel Tel Aviv. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 52%, against 16%, 23% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ironi Kiryat Shmona (green) and Hapoel Tel Aviv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | LLLWL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 40% | 60% |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | WLWWD | 1.60 | 0.80 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Win | 63% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.