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Liga Alef · Israel
Ironi Beit Shemesh vs Tzeirey Tira prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ironi Beit Shemesh host Tzeirey Tira in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 9 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ironi Beit Shemesh 3–1 Tzeirey Tira.
Going into the match, Ironi Beit Shemesh had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Tzeirey Tira had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, with 1 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Ironi Beit Shemesh's last 5 and 1 of Tzeirey Tira's last 5; 3 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ironi Beit Shemesh averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Tzeirey Tira averaged 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Ironi Beit Shemesh and 0.86 from Tzeirey Tira. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%, against 47%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ironi Beit Shemesh (green) and Tzeirey Tira (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Beit Shemesh | LWDLL | 1.00 | 2.60 | 60% | 60% |
| Tzeirey Tira | LLLLL | 0.20 | 2.00 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Ironi Beit Shemesh Win | 46% | 1.91 |
| Ironi Beit Shemesh HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.