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Primera Premier · Mexico
Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Irapuato host Tritons Vallarta in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Irapuato 1–0 Tritons Vallarta.
Going into the match, Irapuato had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 7 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 5. Tritons Vallarta had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Irapuato's last 7 and 5 of Tritons Vallarta's last 10; 6 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Irapuato averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Tritons Vallarta averaged 0.50 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
The 1X2 prices imply about 66% for Irapuato, 20% for the draw and 14% for Tritons Vallarta once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Irapuato (green) and Tritons Vallarta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irapuato | WWWWW | 2.14 | 0.71 | 57% | 86% |
| Tritons Vallarta | LDLDL | 0.60 | 1.00 | 50% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.24 |
| Irapuato Win | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Irapuato HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 3-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.