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Premier League · England
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ipswich host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League (England) on 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ipswich had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 22. Nottingham Forest had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Ipswich's last 10 and 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ipswich averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Nottingham Forest averaged 1.57 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Ipswich and 1.07 from Nottingham Forest. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 27%, against 29%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ipswich (green) and Nottingham Forest (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | LWLLW | 2.00 | 2.20 | 80% | 80% |
| Nottingham Forest | LLLWD | 0.90 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.