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Premier League · England
Ipswich vs Fulham prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ipswich host Fulham in the Premier League (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ipswich 2–1 Fulham.
Going into the match, Ipswich had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 18. Fulham had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ipswich's last 10 and 6 of Fulham's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ipswich averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Fulham averaged 0.90 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Ipswich and 1.13 from Fulham. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 26%, against 35%, 28% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ipswich (green) and Fulham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.