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Championship · Scotland
Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Inverness CT host Stenhousemuir in the Championship (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Inverness CT 2–0 Stenhousemuir.
Going into the match, Inverness CT had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Stenhousemuir had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Inverness CT's last 10 and 2 of Stenhousemuir's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Inverness CT averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Stenhousemuir averaged 1.50 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Inverness CT and 0.96 from Stenhousemuir. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 33%, against 49%, 27% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Inverness CT (green) and Stenhousemuir (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | WDWLL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
| Stenhousemuir | WWWLW | 1.20 | 0.50 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Aug 2026 · Stenhousemuir 3–1 Inverness CT
- 11 Apr 2026 · Stenhousemuir 1–1 Inverness CT
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Inverness CT Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.