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Serie A · Brazil
Internacional vs Corinthians prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Internacional host Corinthians in the Serie A (Brazil) on 7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Internacional 2–1 Corinthians.
Going into the match, Internacional had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Corinthians had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Internacional's last 10 and 6 of Corinthians's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Internacional averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Corinthians averaged 1.06 scored and 1.06 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Internacional and 1.09 from Corinthians. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 28%, against 42%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Internacional (green) and Corinthians (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | LWLLL | 0.90 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Corinthians | LLLDL | 0.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Aug 2026 · Corinthians 2–1 Internacional
- 3 Aug 2026 · Internacional 2–0 Corinthians
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.