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Primera A · Colombia
Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Internacional de Bogota host Once Caldas in the Primera A (Colombia) on 4 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Internacional de Bogota 1–1 Once Caldas.
Going into the match, Internacional de Bogota had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Once Caldas had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Internacional de Bogota's last 10 and 5 of Once Caldas's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Internacional de Bogota averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Once Caldas averaged 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Internacional de Bogota and 1.36 from Once Caldas. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 38%, against 32%, 30% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Internacional de Bogota (green) and Once Caldas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional de Bogota | DLLWW | 1.30 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Once Caldas | LLWLW | 0.80 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Once Caldas 2–1 Internacional de Bogota
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.