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Serie A · Italy
Inter vs Parma prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Inter host Parma in the Serie A (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Inter 3–0 Parma.
Going into the match, Inter had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Parma had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Inter's last 10 and 5 of Parma's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Inter averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Parma averaged 0.43 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.46 goals from Inter and 0.48 from Parma. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 5%, against 84%, 11% and 5% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Inter (green) and Parma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Inter 2–0 Parma
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter 1st Half Win | 66% | 1.40 |
| Inter HT & FT | 64% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 2-0 | 14% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.