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Primera Division · El Salvador
Inter vs Fuerte San Francisco prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Inter host Fuerte San Francisco in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 4 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Inter Win — Inter to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Inter 1–1 Fuerte San Francisco.
Going into the match, Inter had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Fuerte San Francisco had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Inter's last 10 and 3 of Fuerte San Francisco's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Inter averaged 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Fuerte San Francisco averaged 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Inter and 0.76 from Fuerte San Francisco. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 16%, against 62%, 23% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Inter (green) and Fuerte San Francisco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | LDDDW | 1.60 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
| Fuerte San Francisco | LDDLL | 0.50 | 1.50 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Fuerte San Francisco 2–2 Inter
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Inter Win | 62% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Inter HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.