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Serie A Women · Italy
Inter Milano W vs Parma W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Inter Milano W host Parma W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Inter Milano W 3–0 Parma W.
Going into the match, Inter Milano W had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 5. Parma W had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 9, with 5 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Inter Milano W's last 10 and 5 of Parma W's last 9; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Inter Milano W averaged 2.14 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Parma W averaged 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.36 goals from Inter Milano W and 0.35 from Parma W. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 4%, against 66%, 20% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Inter Milano W (green) and Parma W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milano W | WDWWL | 1.80 | 0.50 | 20% | 20% |
| Parma W | LDLLL | 0.56 | 1.78 | 56% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Aug 2026 · Parma W 0–1 Inter Milano W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Inter Milano W Win | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.