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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina

Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors prediction and preview

9 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Instituto Cordoba host Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 9 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Instituto Cordoba 2–2 Boca Juniors.

Going into the match, Instituto Cordoba had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Boca Juniors had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Instituto Cordoba's last 10 and 5 of Boca Juniors's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Instituto Cordoba averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Boca Juniors averaged 1.50 scored and 0.94 conceded across 18.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Instituto Cordoba and 1.02 from Boca Juniors. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 31%, against 31%, 33% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Instituto Cordoba (green) and Boca Juniors (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form48% – 52%
Attack52% – 48%
Defence33% – 67%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals43% – 57%
Overall strength45% – 54%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Instituto CordobaWWWLW1.600.7050%40%
Boca JuniorsWWWDW1.700.7050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Under 2.5 Goals65%1.44
Double Chance 1X64%1.40
Over 1.5 Goals61%1.53
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals60%1.57
BTTS No56%1.67
Over 8.5 Corners50%1.83
Under 1.5 Goals39%2.38

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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