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Championship · Northern Ireland
Institute vs Newington Youth prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Institute host Newington Youth in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Institute 7–0 Newington Youth.
Going into the match, Institute had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 19. Newington Youth had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Institute's last 10 and 6 of Newington Youth's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Institute averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Newington Youth averaged 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Institute and 1.86 from Newington Youth. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 37%, against 31%, 25% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Institute (green) and Newington Youth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institute | LWWWL | 1.40 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
| Newington Youth | WLDWW | 2.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Newington Youth Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.