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Indonesia vs Bangladesh prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Indonesia host Bangladesh in the FIFA Asean Cup (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Indonesia Win — Indonesia to win. It was published at odds of 1.04, which the bookmaker market rated at about 90% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Indonesia 9–2 Bangladesh.
Going into the match, Indonesia had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 8 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 5. Bangladesh had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3, with 2 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Indonesia's last 8 and 1 of Bangladesh's last 3; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Indonesia averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Bangladesh averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 90% for Indonesia, 7% for the draw and 3% for Bangladesh once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Indonesia (green) and Bangladesh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indonesia | DWDLW | 1.88 | 0.63 | 25% | 50% |
| Bangladesh | LLW | 0.67 | 1.67 | 33% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Indonesia HT & FT | 77% | 1.25 |
| Indonesia 1st Half Win | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.82 |
| 3-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.