Independiente F.b.c. vs Paraguari AC prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.60Market probability 58%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Independiente F.b.c. host Paraguari AC in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Independiente F.b.c. had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Paraguari AC had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Independiente F.b.c.'s last 10 and 7 of Paraguari AC's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Independiente F.b.c. averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.81 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Paraguari AC averaged 1.43 scored and 1.71 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Independiente F.b.c. and 1.43 from Paraguari AC. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 32%, against 41%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Independiente F.b.c. (green) and Paraguari AC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form43% – 57%

Attack52% – 48%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head0% – 100%

Goals40% – 60%

Overall strength49% – 51%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Independiente F.b.c.	LWWDL	1.90	1.40	50%	70%
Paraguari AC	WWWLW	2.30	1.30	70%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

18 Jul 2026 · Paraguari AC 3–2 Independiente F.b.c.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	76%	1.20
Double Chance 12	73%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	69%	1.32
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	64%	1.42
BTTS Yes	57%	1.60
Over 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	47%	2.00
Independiente F.b.c. Win	41%	2.15

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.