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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Independ. Rivadavia host Gimnasia L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 3 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia L.P..
Going into the match, Independ. Rivadavia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Gimnasia L.P. had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Independ. Rivadavia's last 10 and 7 of Gimnasia L.P.'s last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Independ. Rivadavia averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Gimnasia L.P. averaged 1.38 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Independ. Rivadavia and 1.43 from Gimnasia L.P.. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 35%, against 44%, 31% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Independ. Rivadavia (green) and Gimnasia L.P. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independ. Rivadavia | WDWLW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Gimnasia L.P. | DDWWL | 1.50 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Independ. Rivadavia Win | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.