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K League 1 · South Korea
Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Incheon United host Pohang Steelers in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 9 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Incheon United to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Incheon United 3–0 Pohang Steelers.
Going into the match, Incheon United had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Pohang Steelers had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Incheon United's last 10 and 6 of Pohang Steelers's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Incheon United averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Pohang Steelers averaged 1.29 scored and 1.47 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Incheon United and 0.76 from Pohang Steelers. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 23%, against 42%, 30% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Incheon United (green) and Pohang Steelers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United | DDLWL | 1.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
| Pohang Steelers | WLDDL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 May 2026 · Incheon United 0–1 Pohang Steelers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.67 |
| Incheon United Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.