Home › League stats › Super Liga › IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica
Super Liga · Serbia
IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
IMT Novi Beograd host Radnik Surdulica in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: IMT Novi Beograd 1–0 Radnik Surdulica.
Going into the match, IMT Novi Beograd had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Radnik Surdulica had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of IMT Novi Beograd's last 10 and 7 of Radnik Surdulica's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home IMT Novi Beograd averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Radnik Surdulica averaged 0.73 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from IMT Novi Beograd and 0.57 from Radnik Surdulica. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 15%, against 52%, 27% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between IMT Novi Beograd (green) and Radnik Surdulica (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMT Novi Beograd | DLDWL | 1.10 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
| Radnik Surdulica | DDDWL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| IMT Novi Beograd Win | 52% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.