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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Imperia vs Biellese prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Imperia host Biellese in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.29, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Imperia 2–1 Biellese.
Going into the match, Imperia had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Biellese had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Imperia's last 10 and 8 of Biellese's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Imperia averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Biellese averaged 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Imperia and 1.71 from Biellese. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 47%, against 33%, 30% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Imperia (green) and Biellese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.29 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.96 |
| Biellese Win | 37% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.