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Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Spain
Illescas vs La Solana prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Illescas host La Solana in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Illescas Win — Illescas to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Illescas 1–0 La Solana.
Going into the match, Illescas had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. La Solana had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Illescas's last 10 and 2 of La Solana's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Illescas averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home La Solana averaged 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Illescas and 0.72 from La Solana. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 17%, against 60%, 23% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Illescas (green) and La Solana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · La Solana 1–0 Illescas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Illescas Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Illescas HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 1-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.