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Regionalliga - Bayern · Germany
Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Illertissen host TSV 1860 München in the Regionalliga - Bayern (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Illertissen 1–1 TSV 1860 München.
Going into the match, Illertissen had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. TSV 1860 München had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Illertissen's last 10 and 5 of TSV 1860 München's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Illertissen averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home TSV 1860 München averaged 1.50 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.03 goals from Illertissen and 1.22 from TSV 1860 München. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%, against 40%, 24% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Illertissen (green) and TSV 1860 München (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | DLWWL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 40% | 70% |
| TSV 1860 München | WLWDW | 2.00 | 1.10 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.31 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Double Chance 1X | 64% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.74 |
| Illertissen Win | 40% | 2.21 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 39% | 2.32 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.