Home › League stats › Non League Premier - Northern › Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC
Non League Premier - Northern · England
Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ilkeston Town host Guiseley AFC in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Guiseley AFC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ilkeston Town 0–2 Guiseley AFC.
Going into the match, Ilkeston Town had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 27. Guiseley AFC had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ilkeston Town's last 10 and 6 of Guiseley AFC's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ilkeston Town averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Guiseley AFC averaged 2.09 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.61 goals from Ilkeston Town and 2.41 from Guiseley AFC. From that it rates a home win at 7%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 77%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 93%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ilkeston Town (green) and Guiseley AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston Town | LLLLL | 0.60 | 2.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Guiseley AFC | WLWWW | 2.50 | 1.00 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Guiseley AFC Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Guiseley AFC HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.