Home › League stats › Superettan › IK brage vs Helsingborg
Superettan · Sweden
IK brage vs Helsingborg prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
IK brage host Helsingborg in the Superettan (Sweden) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: IK brage 2–0 Helsingborg.
Going into the match, IK brage had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 21. Helsingborg had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of IK brage's last 10 and 6 of Helsingborg's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home IK brage averaged 1.85 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Helsingborg averaged 1.64 scored and 2.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from IK brage and 1.51 from Helsingborg. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 35%, against 40%, 26% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between IK brage (green) and Helsingborg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK brage | DLDDL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 70% | 50% |
| Helsingborg | DLWLD | 1.20 | 1.60 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Helsingborg 2–0 IK brage
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.