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Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Igea Virtus vs Reggina prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Igea Virtus host Reggina in the Coppa Italia Serie D (Italy) on 7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Reggina to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Igea Virtus 3–2 Reggina.
Going into the match, Igea Virtus had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 20. Reggina had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Igea Virtus's last 10 and 2 of Reggina's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Igea Virtus averaged 2.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Reggina averaged 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Igea Virtus and 2.94 from Reggina. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 65%, against 26%, 27% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Igea Virtus (green) and Reggina (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igea Virtus | DLWWD | 1.80 | 2.00 | 80% | 70% |
| Reggina | LWWWW | 2.20 | 0.40 | 20% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Sep 2026 · Reggina 2–0 Igea Virtus
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Reggina Win | 48% | 1.90 |
| Reggina HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.