Home › League stats › Serie D - Girone I › Igea Virtus vs Nissa
Serie D - Girone I · Italy
Igea Virtus vs Nissa prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Igea Virtus host Nissa in the Serie D - Girone I (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.24, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Igea Virtus 1–1 Nissa.
Going into the match, Igea Virtus had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Nissa had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Igea Virtus's last 9 and 5 of Nissa's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Igea Virtus averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Nissa averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.48 goals from Igea Virtus and 1.56 from Nissa. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 23%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Igea Virtus (green) and Nissa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igea Virtus | LWWDW | 1.89 | 2.11 | 78% | 78% |
| Nissa | LLWDW | 2.00 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Igea Virtus Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Igea Virtus HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.