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Superettan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
IFK Norrkoping host Orebro SK in the Superettan (Sweden) on 20 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: IFK Norrkoping 2–2 Orebro SK.
Going into the match, IFK Norrkoping had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 7. Orebro SK had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of IFK Norrkoping's last 10 and 8 of Orebro SK's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home IFK Norrkoping averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Orebro SK averaged 1.67 scored and 1.80 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.19 goals from IFK Norrkoping and 0.68 from Orebro SK. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 9%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between IFK Norrkoping (green) and Orebro SK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Norrkoping | WDWDW | 2.10 | 0.70 | 60% | 60% |
| Orebro SK | DDLDW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Orebro SK 2–1 IFK Norrkoping
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| IFK Norrkoping Win | 53% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.