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Division 2 - Norrland · Sweden
IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
IFK Luleå host Skellefteå in the Division 2 - Norrland (Sweden) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: IFK Luleå 4–2 Skellefteå.
Going into the match, IFK Luleå had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Skellefteå had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of IFK Luleå's last 10 and 5 of Skellefteå's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home IFK Luleå averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Skellefteå averaged 1.82 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from IFK Luleå and 1.23 from Skellefteå. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 24%, against 39%, 23% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between IFK Luleå (green) and Skellefteå (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Luleå | WWLWW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Skellefteå | LWLLD | 1.70 | 1.70 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Skellefteå 3–1 IFK Luleå
- 27 Jun 2026 · IFK Luleå 0–1 Skellefteå
- 16 May 2026 · Skellefteå 2–3 IFK Luleå
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.27 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.64 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.24 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.