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Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
IFK Goteborg host Vasteras SK FK in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: IFK Goteborg 1–0 Vasteras SK FK.
Going into the match, IFK Goteborg had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Vasteras SK FK had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of IFK Goteborg's last 10 and 3 of Vasteras SK FK's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home IFK Goteborg averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Vasteras SK FK averaged 1.54 scored and 2.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from IFK Goteborg and 1.21 from Vasteras SK FK. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between IFK Goteborg (green) and Vasteras SK FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Goteborg | WWWWW | 1.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Vasteras SK FK | LWWLW | 1.20 | 1.40 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Vasteras SK FK 4–5 IFK Goteborg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| IFK Goteborg Win | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.