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Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Sweden
IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs IF prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
IF Karlstad II host Vänersborgs IF in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Sweden) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: IF Karlstad II 4–0 Vänersborgs IF.
Going into the match, IF Karlstad II had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 21. Vänersborgs IF had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 29 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of IF Karlstad II's last 10 and 5 of Vänersborgs IF's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home IF Karlstad II averaged 0.64 goals scored and 2.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Vänersborgs IF averaged 0.91 scored and 3.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from IF Karlstad II and 1.07 from Vänersborgs IF. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 19%, against 50%, 23% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between IF Karlstad II (green) and Vänersborgs IF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad II | LLLLD | 0.80 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Vänersborgs IF | LLLLL | 0.80 | 2.90 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Vänersborgs IF 1–4 IF Karlstad II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.72 |
| IF Karlstad II Win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 1.96 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.