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Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Sweden
IF Karlstad II vs Tord prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
IF Karlstad II host Tord in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Sweden) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: IF Karlstad II 1–3 Tord.
Going into the match, IF Karlstad II had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 21. Tord had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of IF Karlstad II's last 10 and 7 of Tord's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home IF Karlstad II averaged 0.60 goals scored and 2.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Tord averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from IF Karlstad II and 1.43 from Tord. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 39%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between IF Karlstad II (green) and Tord (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad II | LLLDL | 0.80 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Tord | LWLLW | 1.30 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · Tord 1–1 IF Karlstad II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.