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Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
IF Elfsborg host Halmstad in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: IF Elfsborg 4–0 Halmstad.
Going into the match, IF Elfsborg had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 6. Halmstad had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of IF Elfsborg's last 10 and 5 of Halmstad's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home IF Elfsborg averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Halmstad averaged 0.92 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from IF Elfsborg and 0.59 from Halmstad. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 9%, against 70%, 18% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between IF Elfsborg (green) and Halmstad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | LWWLW | 1.70 | 0.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Halmstad | WWLLW | 1.00 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Halmstad 1–1 IF Elfsborg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| IF Elfsborg Win | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| IF Elfsborg HT & FT | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.