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Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Spain
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Formentera prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas host Formentera in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2–0 Formentera.
Going into the match, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Formentera had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ibiza Islas Pitiusas's last 9 and 5 of Formentera's last 9; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ibiza Islas Pitiusas averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Formentera averaged 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Ibiza Islas Pitiusas and 0.77 from Formentera. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 20%, against 45%, 28% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (green) and Formentera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | DWWWL | 1.33 | 1.11 | 56% | 56% |
| Formentera | WDWDD | 1.56 | 1.00 | 56% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.