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Hungary vs Georgia prediction and preview

2 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 71%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hungary host Georgia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Hungary 1–0 Georgia.

Going into the match, Hungary had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Georgia had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4, with 3 scored and 2 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Hungary's last 4 and 1 of Georgia's last 4; 2 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hungary averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Georgia averaged 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 0.

The 1X2 prices imply about 47% for Hungary, 28% for the draw and 25% for Georgia once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hungary (green) and Georgia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Defence50% – 50%
Overall strength50% – 50%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
HungaryDLWW1.250.7550%50%
GeorgiaDLWD0.750.5025%0%

Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X76%1.25
Over 1.5 Goals71%1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals55%1.70
Over 8.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS Yes50%1.83
Hungary Win47%2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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