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Premier League · Jamaica
Humble Lions vs Chapelton prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Humble Lions host Chapelton in the Premier League (Jamaica) on 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Chapelton to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Humble Lions 0–0 Chapelton.
Going into the match, Humble Lions had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 13. Chapelton had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 29 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Humble Lions's last 4 and 5 of Chapelton's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Humble Lions averaged 0.00 goals scored and 5.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Chapelton averaged 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Humble Lions and 1.19 from Chapelton. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 41%, against 28%, 26% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Humble Lions (green) and Chapelton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humble Lions | DLLL | 0.50 | 3.25 | 50% | 75% |
| Chapelton | LDWLL | 1.60 | 2.90 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.