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Premier League · England
Hull City vs Everton prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hull City host Everton in the Premier League (England) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hull City 2–2 Everton.
Going into the match, Hull City had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Everton had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Hull City's last 10 and 5 of Everton's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hull City averaged 0.86 goals scored and 0.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Everton averaged 1.54 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Hull City and 0.76 from Everton. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 28%, against 28%, 29% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 92%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hull City (green) and Everton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.