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Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Spain
Huarte vs Gazte Berriak prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Huarte host Gazte Berriak in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (Spain) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Huarte 0–2 Gazte Berriak.
Going into the match, Huarte had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Gazte Berriak had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 6 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Huarte's last 10 and 2 of Gazte Berriak's last 5; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Huarte averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Gazte Berriak averaged 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.75 goals from Huarte and 0.94 from Gazte Berriak. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 37%, against 46%, 27% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Huarte (green) and Gazte Berriak (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huarte | DDDLD | 1.00 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
| Gazte Berriak | WDWLW | 1.20 | 0.80 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Huarte Win | 45% | 1.95 |
| Huarte HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.