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Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Spain
Huarte vs Avance Ezcabarte prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Huarte host Avance Ezcabarte in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (Spain) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.24, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Huarte had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Avance Ezcabarte had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Huarte's last 10 and 7 of Avance Ezcabarte's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Huarte averaged 0.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Avance Ezcabarte averaged 0.67 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Huarte and 1.14 from Avance Ezcabarte. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 35%, against 39%, 27% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Huarte (green) and Avance Ezcabarte (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huarte | LLDDD | 0.90 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
| Avance Ezcabarte | LWWLD | 1.50 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Huarte Win | 38% | 2.30 |
| 1-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.