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National League - South · England
Horsham vs Maidstone Utd prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Horsham host Maidstone Utd in the National League - South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Horsham 1–2 Maidstone Utd.
Going into the match, Horsham had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Maidstone Utd had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Horsham's last 10 and 7 of Maidstone Utd's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Horsham averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Maidstone Utd averaged 2.20 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Horsham and 1.73 from Maidstone Utd. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 56%, against 31%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsham | LDWLD | 1.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
| Maidstone Utd | LLDLW | 1.50 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Horsham 0–0 Maidstone Utd
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 61% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.