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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Hoogeveen vs SC Genemuiden prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hoogeveen host SC Genemuiden in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — SC Genemuiden to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hoogeveen 5–3 SC Genemuiden.
Going into the match, Hoogeveen had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 18. SC Genemuiden had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Hoogeveen's last 10 and 6 of SC Genemuiden's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hoogeveen averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home SC Genemuiden averaged 2.00 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.26 goals from Hoogeveen and 2.08 from SC Genemuiden. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 36%, against 28%, 22% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hoogeveen (green) and SC Genemuiden (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoogeveen | WLLWD | 2.10 | 1.80 | 90% | 80% |
| SC Genemuiden | WWLWW | 2.20 | 0.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Hoogeveen 2–1 SC Genemuiden
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.72 |
| SC Genemuiden Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.