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Kakkonen - Play-offs · Finland
Honka vs ÅIFK prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Honka host ÅIFK in the Kakkonen - Play-offs (Finland) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Honka Win — Honka to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Honka 2–0 ÅIFK.
Going into the match, Honka had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 6. ÅIFK had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Honka's last 10 and 5 of ÅIFK's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Honka averaged 3.13 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home ÅIFK averaged 1.62 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from Honka and 0.72 from ÅIFK. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 11%, against 65%, 19% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Honka (green) and ÅIFK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Oct 2026 · ÅIFK 0–1 Honka
- 19 Sep 2026 · Honka 3–0 ÅIFK
- 26 Jun 2026 · ÅIFK 0–1 Honka
- 18 Apr 2026 · Honka 1–1 ÅIFK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Honka Win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.59 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Honka HT & FT | 46% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.25 |
| 2-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.