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Premier League · Singapore
Home United vs Tampines Rovers prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Home United host Tampines Rovers in the Premier League (Singapore) on 21 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Home United had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Tampines Rovers had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Home United's last 10 and 6 of Tampines Rovers's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Home United averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Tampines Rovers averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Home United and 1.19 from Tampines Rovers. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 30%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Home United (green) and Tampines Rovers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home United | WWWLD | 1.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Tampines Rovers | WLWDL | 1.90 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Tampines Rovers 3–2 Home United
- 3 May 2026 · Tampines Rovers 0–0 Home United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.