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ASEAN Club Championship · International
Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Home United host Công An Nhân Dân in the ASEAN Club Championship (International) on 8 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.66, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Home United 0–1 Công An Nhân Dân.
Going into the match, Home United had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Công An Nhân Dân had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Home United's last 9 and 3 of Công An Nhân Dân's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Home United averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Công An Nhân Dân averaged 1.56 scored and 0.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Home United and 1.29 from Công An Nhân Dân. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 37%, against 42%, 24% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Home United (green) and Công An Nhân Dân (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home United | DDDLL | 1.67 | 1.11 | 56% | 44% |
| Công An Nhân Dân | WLWWW | 1.90 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Home United Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Home United HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.