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Premier League · Wales
Holywell vs The New Saints prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Holywell host The New Saints in the Premier League (Wales) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Holywell 1–6 The New Saints.
Going into the match, Holywell had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 29. The New Saints had won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 36 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Holywell's last 10 and 4 of The New Saints's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Holywell averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home The New Saints averaged 1.70 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.60 goals from Holywell and 4.34 from The New Saints. From that it rates a home win at 2%, a draw at 5% and an away win at 94%, against 2%, 6% and 91% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Holywell (green) and The New Saints (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holywell | LDLLL | 1.10 | 2.90 | 80% | 70% |
| The New Saints | WWWWW | 3.60 | 0.50 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| The New Saints HT & FT | 79% | 1.22 |
| BTTS No | 64% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| 0-3 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.