Home › League stats › Friendlies Clubs › Holstein Kiel vs Viborg
Friendlies Clubs · International
Holstein Kiel vs Viborg prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Holstein Kiel host Viborg in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Holstein Kiel to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Holstein Kiel 3–1 Viborg.
Going into the match, Holstein Kiel had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Viborg had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Holstein Kiel's last 10 and 5 of Viborg's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Holstein Kiel averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Viborg averaged 1.33 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Holstein Kiel and 1.29 from Viborg. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 34%, against 43%, 23% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Holstein Kiel (green) and Viborg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | DLDLW | 1.20 | 1.80 | 60% | 60% |
| Viborg | WLDLW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.27 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.27 |
| Double Chance 1X | 65% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.63 |
| Holstein Kiel Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.